Forecasting the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences

The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel (aka the Nobel Prize in Economics) will be announced on Monday, October 11, 2010. Of the 63 men and 1 woman who have won the award outright or shared in it since the prize began in 1969, 44 have been Americans. The leading university homes of the winners include the University of Chicago (10), followed by the University of California-Berkeley (5), Columbia (4), Harvard (4), and Cambridge University, England (4).

Now, let's see how well you can forecast. Who will be awarded the 2010 Nobel Prize in Economics? Your educated guess must be posted as a comment to this post before the Nobel Prize announcement is made. In the event that more than one person submits identical guesses, the earlier timestamp of the comment will determine the winner. The bonus points will be added to the winner's next exam score following the Nobel announcement on October 11.

Congratulations to Peter Diamond (MIT), Dale Mortensen (Northwestern), and Christopher Pissarides (London School of Economics) as the winners of this year's Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for their work on search frictions in economic markets.

Unfortunately, nobody correctly forecasted this year's winners.